Jenson Button – SBG GLobal – $200 @ 70-1

By admin on Thursday, December 31, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

Some of you may remember this case… I placed a bet of $200 pre season with http://www.sbgglobal.com on Jenson Button at 70-1 for the 2009 F1 Championship. They have now upped their offer from even money ( :) ) to 12-1. I still believe I should be paid at 70-1.

After waiting 2 months to be paid, I’ve now commenced legal action. It turns out that SBG Global are owned by SBG Euro, a UK company. This should help…below is a copy of the latter I have sent today to SBG Euro (by post and email).

**********************
I have not yet received the $14K USD that I am owed by SBG Global. I have now commenced legal action to ensure I am paid this money. Attached below are scanned copies of documents that have been sent to the registered address for SBG Euro Ltd (of which SBG Global are a wholly owned subsidiary).

You now have 21 days to pay the money owed to me. I suggest this is done by a payment to my VISA credit card. If you not have these details on file, please email me and I can provide these details. Please let me know when I should expect to receive payment.

If I do not receive payment, I file a winding-up petition against SBG Euro Ltd in the UK courts. This petition is a request for the court to make a “compulsory liquidation order”. An accountant will then be appointed as a liquidator and sell off SBG Euro’s assets to pay the money owed to me.

If you with to contact me, I must insist this done my email to this address rather than by phone.

2009

By admin on Thursday, December 31, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

My first year as a poker pro went pretty good. I’m enjoying the lifestyle a lot, didn’t get sick of poker and am excited about 2010.

A pre-emptive Happy New Year and may you all keep pushing forward in 2010. Play well and prosper!

The best part of the year for me was travelling. I managed to visit 12 countries… Scotland, England, USA, Australia, New Zealand, Russia, China, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Macau and Japan! I’m very grateful to be able to use poker to fund my travelling and plan on capitalising on it a ton more next year.

2010 poker goals? More quality grinding time, more volume. I only averaged 20k/month hands in 2009, it’s one of my 2010 goals to up that to 30k/month. Other than that it’s just continuing to move forward with my fre online game in whatever I feel are the most effective ways. No other real goals other than busting out 360,000 hands in 2010 at mid/high-stakes.

Partying tomorrow night then will be in France until the 9th, then Manchester to catch family, London to get my USA Visa, Edinburgh to see family/friends then back to the USA mid-January.

1:20 is sick

2010 Specials – Part 2 – William Hill

By admin on Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

The next bookie’s 2010 prices I have reviewed is William Hill. I have managed to come up with 6 bets which I think are value.

1. Michael Schumacher to have 5+ winners in 2010 F1 Championship. – 7-1 – 20pts Win

Schumacher is now a confirmed ‘runner’ in the 2010 F1 Season for Merecdes (ex Brawn GP). Ross Brawn is a master race tactician and designer. Brawn GP have been working on the 2010 car since mid season 2009 and I believe are likely to be competitive again. (I don’t believe Schumacher would have taken this drive if this wasn’t the case). Schmacher has stayed fit so I don’t think age is an issue – it is more relevent that he is one of the gretest drivers of all time. He has always outerformed his team mates so I am confident he with do the same wih Rosberg.

Schumacher is currently a 5-1 chance for the 2010 F1 Championship. I think of better value is the 7-1 for 5+ wins. There are 19 races in 2010 so he will need to win > approx. 25% of the races. With rules changes for 2010 (no refulleing, narrower tyes) it is possible a single team will make a fast start (like with Brawn in 2009).

If you look at previous seasons, you can see that often more than one driver scores approx > 25% in a season (3 out of the past 5 years). The reverse is not true ie. no driver has won the chmampionship without scoring > 25% wins.

Past Season Reviews (with drivers who makes approx > 25% criteria in bold):
Top 3 Drivers in each Season

No. of Races Driver/Number of Race Wins/% Wins

2009 17 – Button 6, Vettel 4, Barricello 2
2008 18 – Hamilton 5, Massa 6, Raikkonen 3
2007 17 – Raikkonen 6, Hamilton 4, Alonso 4
2006 18 – Alonso 7, Schumacher 7, Massa 2
2005 19 – Alonso 6, Raikkonen 7, Schmuacher 1

This means either the 5-1 on Schmuchaer for the championship is too short or the 7-1 on 5+ wins is too long (I’m betting on the latter as it is a less popular market). Labrokes do a similar market and make it and approx 4-1 chance – I’d make it an approx 3-1 chance.

2. Any England Bowler to take a Test Match Hatrick – 8-1 – 4pts Win

Suprisingly, England bowlers have taken hatricks relatively often in Test matches (past 20 years reviewed) – 1995, 1999, 2004, 2008 i.e approx 1 in every 5 years.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Test_cricket_hat-tricks

There is a reasonable test program this year (inclusing 2 x test series against Bangladesh) so there is no reason to think this year will have any different chance. BlueSq are going 9/2, a much more accurate price.

3. A European trained winner of the Melbourne Cup 8-1 – 4 pts

On bare reading of stats., 8-1 would seem the approximately correct price as Europe have had two winners in the past 20 years (1992/2003).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Melbourne_Cup_winners

However, we have been very close on several other occasions recently. I think the BlueSQ price of 3/1 is slighly too short (but a more accurate price than 8-1 – I’d make it an approx. 9/2 chance).

4. Capello to receive a Knighthood in 2010 – 100/1 – 4pts win

England are an approx 6-1 for the World Cup. Whilst I think this is too short, I would still make them no more than a 10-1 chance. If England win the World Cup, I think there is good chance (even money?) that Capello will be awarded an (honourary) Knighthood at end 2010. Ramsey receive a knighthood for 1966, and in these ‘celeb’ times, there is no reason to think that Capello won’t also recieve one. I’d make this an approx 20-1 chance.

5. Pete Doherty to receive a custodial sentence in 2010 – 5-1 – 4pts win

Doherty is treading a very fine line with continual drug (re)offences. I cannot see the judicary allowing him many more chances. He also has potential crimianl proceedings for a hit and run incident (primarily invovling his manager).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pete_Doherty

6. First Celeberity Couple to Divorce in 2010 – Tom Cruise/Katie Holmes- 50-1 – 2pts Win

Tiger & Erin Woods are far too short at 1-3 to be the first couple to divorce, meaning there has to be value at on the other runners. I can’t suggest I am an expert in this area, but I think (divorcee) Cruise may have a ‘rocky’ year. I’m going to have to get a subscription to Heat.

Full list of runners (and odds) below

Tiger and Erin Woods 1/3
Kerry Katona and Mark Croft 4/1
Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie 7/1
Ashley and Cheryl Cole 10/1
Charlotte Church and Gavin Henson 16/1
Roger and Mirka Federer 25/1
Wayne and Coleen Rooney 33/1
Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes 50/1
David and Victoria Beckham 50/1

2010 Specials – Part 1 – Skybet

By admin on Saturday, December 26, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

At Christmas, my (betting) thoughts turn to yearly specials. These can sometimes be poor value, but amongst the dross are a few gems. The first review I’ve made is of Skybets’s 2010 Specials markets. If anyone can spot and value bets I’ve missed, please post as a comment or, if you would prefer, send to chris.trinder@gmail.com.

1. Golf – An Amateur to win on the Europen Tour – 7-1

Amateurs have have had a suprisingly good record on the European tour recently. There have been three wins (two in 2009, one in 2007) so 7-1 is a great price. I think it should be much shorter (2-1?). I’ve had 6 pts (max. allowed). This could make for some interesting viewing of final rounds….

2. Tennis – Murray to win 7 (or more) ATP titles – 7-1

Murray won 5 ATP titles in 2007 and 6 ATP titles in 2008. Nadal is less of a threat now (but Del Potro is more of a threat). I woudl think Murray will probably win approx 6/7 singles titles so 7-1 on 7+ titles is a graet bet… I’d make it an approx 6-4 chance at most. I’ve had 8pts (max. allowed). It should keep me interested in watching the Men’s ATP Tennis for the year!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andy_Murray

3. Cricket – Top Test Score to be greater than 735 – 16-1

The 3 highest test scores last year were:

765
760
749

(all of which would have made this bet payout). Unless I am missing something, the 16-1 is excellent value – I think this should be an odds on shot. I’ve had 1.5pts (max allowed).

http://stats.cricinfo.com/ci/engine/records/team/highest_innings_totals.html?class=1;id=2009;type=year

4. Snooker – World Championship to have a Century scored in the final frame – 9-1

This has occured in the following years: 2009, 2003, 1998, 1995. I’d therefore think it is probably an approx 4-1 chance. I’ve had 3 pts at 9-1 (max. allowed).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:World_Snooker_Championships

I will be doing reviews over the next 2-3 days of each of the other bookies markets.

P.S. 2 Bets I missed were ‘Six 6s in a Internatial Twenty20 Over’ highlighted in a comment below at 50/1) – now into 3/1 (priced changed while I was doing my analysis) :( and ‘Top Test Indiviudal Score to be > 313′… this was priced at 6/1, now into 5/2. The new prices are just fair.

2009 Holiday Greetings

By admin on Friday, December 25, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

A picture says a thousand words… so how many words does a video say?

Happy Holidays!

Kempton Christmas Hurdle – Straw Bear – 80/1 – Stan James – 2pts E/W

By admin on Thursday, December 24, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

Straw Bear has been mainly chasing recently (with little success). He wisely has returned to hurdling and takes on the 2009 Christmas Hurdle, a race he won in 2007. His run in this race 2008 was too bad to be true (although I haven’t been able to find an explanation). After his poor hurdling re-appearance this year he scoped badly, so that can be disregarded (as can his chasing runs). If he returns to his 2007 form, I think he has a live chance. I’ve had 2pts E/W (1/4 1,2) at 80/1 at Stan James.

She replied…

By admin on Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

but a general message.

“Im with my family, things are ok, i hope you have a great xmas.”

blah blah blah.

No mention of meeting up…

the classic gentle put down

I feel quite upset actually.

Headed home for Christmas

By admin on Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to everyone!

So I’ve decided to get a 10 month multi-entry Visa for America next year. I absolutely LOVE California and New York and would love to spend time living in both.

Rough plans are to fly into Miami in January and stay there for a few months before heading over to New York to live for the summer. Also high on the list of places to spend time are Vegas, Chicago, The Bahamas, Hawaii, Toronto and Montreal. Thinking about buying a car for the year and road tripping around. Will see how things work out, I’m real excited.

As for poker… I’ve not played for the last week and don’t really plan on playing for the rest of the year. I’m pretty much done for the year, will probably do a year review and goals for next year post over the next week.

Photos from New York, San Diego and Las Vegas!

So I leave NY tomorrow, arrive back in Edinburgh on Christmas Eve to spend time with my family, New Years Eve with friends then fly to the south of France on New Years Day on a snowboarding trip with a big group of people. Will get back into the UK mid-Jan and if all goes to plan fly back out to the USA soon after.

Long time no updates, I’ve been busy doing some travelling in the USA.

I just want to straight out say the USA is fantastic. It’s been so nice to spend a bunch of time here after coming from the overpriced and incredibly overrated land of Australia. American people are just WAY more friendly than Aussies… shout out to all of the great people I’ve met during my time over here.

Oh… and go see Avatar in I-max 3D, it’s magnificent.

I feel alive, or half-switched off, not sure…

By admin on Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

Poker:

I haven’t played any in weeks. Like I’ve said before, I’m sick of it, I think I’ve quit. So if you like to read my blog for infrequent poker updates, then don’t read on, go and wank off to a video of Devilfish instead.

Life:

Something strange, and slightly unsettling, occurred at work today. I work under a manager who must have learnt her management style from some kind of Stasi handbook, with her technique based on the principles of micro-management, inefficient over-planning, paranoid delusions of grandeur, and an impressively narrow view of the job role.

Anyway, I hate to say it, but I have bitched about her before. Yeah, I know…it’s a bit feminine of me, even homosexual I might say, but I’m a liberal, so it doesn’t bother me.

A colleague would often email me, or vice-versa, with such well constructed sentences as “the dumb fucking bitch is doing my head in, stupid cow”, or “when the fuck will she shut up”, and occasionally “arrrrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhh FFS”.

This colleague quit recently, and now my boss for some reason has access to his emails, to check if clients have contacted him. And she saw such emails. Yes, incredibly nice of her to read private emails.

She questioned me about it, and it surprised me slightly – although the eventuality that I would one day get caught had crossed my mind, and obviously spurned me on to continue acting as I had – but I felt completely bored by this whole debacle. “Why are you reading private emails?” I asked. She didn’t have an answer. And we left it at that. To be continued tomorrow I guess.

The reason I bring this up, is not because it’s interesting – it clearly isn’t – but because this feeling of detachment seems to be something that prevails in my life. I just feel like its not me experiencing things, like I’m living in a dream. This all came to a head in a rather frightening experience a few weeks back when I was in Portugal with my dad, who had some kind of an ‘attack’ where he almost fell to the floor and shook violently, and when I looked in his eyes he was on another planet. I stayed during the episode, then when he calmed down, I rushed to grab the car keys, to take him to the hospital. In my rural region in Portugal, to call an ambulance is a waste of time, it’d take about 2 hours for one to get there probably. Anyway, once I returned he was looking better, and I was shaking with fear, absolute terror. At first I started to feel like I was watching a film, and then this changed to an almost hyperactive feeling, I almost wanted to smile or laugh, I felt full of energy, full of life. It was terrible, I really felt horrified with myself for days afterwards. Actually, I still feel horrified now. In one of the worst experiences of mine for years, I reacted in an unnatural manner.

It reminds me almost of when I was younger, and if somebody relatively unknown to me (a distant cousin, or a boy at school in another year) died, I’d react by laughing. It’s not really the best of reactions to have at such things, but I couldn’t help it.

This detachment has often followed me around. A girl would say “I love you” and I’d reply “Why?”. In a fight, a guy would say “I want to kill you”, I’d reply “I want to kill me too”.

Recently I’ve attempted to combat this, to try and feel alive again. I think its working, but I’m taking some strange routes. I’ve quadrupled my weekly alcohol and drug intake, and the downers make me feel alive. I’ve begun to starve myself on weekdays, and the hunger pains make me feel alive. I’ve lost a stone in 4 weeks, and I feel alive, despite the fact I’m fading away. I’ve begun to stand dangerously close to moving trains and traffic, and the rush of wind makes me feel alive. I used to feel alive when a poker card turned my way, now I feel empathy for the loser.

I think I’m nearing the end of this experiment though, so don’t worry dear readers, I’ll be back to write another largely ignored blog post soon.

On a more positive note, I asked a girl out friday, and she said yes, but she was drunk. She’s actually away right now, and she asked I text her to arrange the meet, so I text her a few days later to arrange it, as shes back day after tomorrow I think, but haven’t heard anything yet. It’s only been 29 hours, 43 minutes though, so maybe it isn’t quite yet time for me to give up on her.

I’m really hoping she replies (obviously I’m not messaging her again now), otherwise I’m set to have a very boring, and ultimately depressing, christmas.

I want some fcking binkage from this bird, ONE TIME FFS ONE TIME.

I’ll post some epic sex posts if she says yes, so please please pray for me too, otherwise I’ll have to post more stories about mingers, shoes and….hand histories. Yes, I’ll unleash some hand histories on you. You have been warned…

Xmas time, no poker for me!

By admin on Monday, December 21, 2009
Filled Under: Uncategorized

Well Im off upto my house (that I bought with my fiancee, Just I havent found a job up at durham to move there fulltime) over xmas and newyear so dont think i’ll have time to get any poker in. Might be nice to stop playing for a week or so but no doubt i’ll be itching to play towards the backend of newyr.

On the poker front. I cashed in the $55 80k gtd syndicate for $83.20. Think I did really well. Had cogs from RTR railing me and teaching me to 3bet shove on the money bubble. (Had ATo on the BB 10bb, bigstack raised from the CO). I ended up shoving KJo with 12bb in the MP2 and losing out to the BB’s KK, when calling with 99 a few hands earlier to a 10bb UTG+2 shove would of been a better play. oh well..

The 2/180 prop bet didnt go so well for me, ended up around $40 down over the 100 free online games, with a total of $165ish cashes, I had around four 4th places finishes which each time I should of come atleast 2nd or 1st. some redic beats.
Well I carried on grinding the 2/180s and they came good again tobad I didnt have the heater in the prop bet. I also just recently started to take more notes after the money bubble bursts. helped me out alot today.

my current 2/180 stats: cracked $1k profit :D

bankroll: $1175